Many questions have been asked as to the relationship between the Troposphere (Tropics) SST, OLR and Global Temperature.
Included in the below Graph are the time series of the three-month running average of standardized tropical tropospheric temperature anomalies (in blue) and the three-month running average of standardized Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies (in red).
The standardized tropospheric temperature anomalies are averaged around the globe from 25°S to 25°N and from the 850 hPa pressure level to 200 hPa. The climatological base period for the atmospheric temperature is 1981 to 2010, and the base period used for the sea surface temperature anomalies is 1971-2000.
Trop/Nino 3.4 Region top right shows a strong correlation to the UAH Global Temperature Anomaly bottom right and insert top left is TLT (Temp of Lower Troposphere.) V4.0 @ 25°N/S, Obviously the strength of Solar Radiation at the Equator is the driver of Both SST and Global Temperature.
Currently, the OLR is currently not operationally derived, It is planned to generate an operational product from the Meteosat Third Generation Flexible Combined Imager (MTG-FCI) and Variations in the OLR reflect the response of the Earth-atmosphere system to solar diurnal forcing. Those variations can be found in particular in surface temperature, cloud cover, cloud top height, and related quantities like precipitation so why isn't it included in the Global modelling Program?.
The following graph is OLR-ENSO-Global T.
Earth’s climate is set by a balance between incoming solar and outgoing infrared radiation. The physical processes that influence this balance are complex and nonlinear, yet models and satellite measurements counterintuitively show that Earth’s infrared radiation is simply a linear function of surface temperature. explain why? Linearity is due to the cancellation of two nonlinear processes and always arises in an atmosphere dominated by a condensable greenhouse gas.
This explains a fundamental property of Earth’s climate and has implications for climate variability as well as the climates of extrasolar planets with exotic greenhouse gases, pursuing the Theory that CO2 is the climate driver of any Planet with an Atmosphere is Fundamentally wrong on all levels and until we negate away from the idea we will never understand WHY current climate Models fail.
Where does the data and Global Temperature trend presented by NASA GISS fit anywhere into the above breakdown?
My answer to you is it simply does not fit. Hence i pixelated the frame!!.
Based on current Satellite observations.
Questioned as to why 1-2Wm2 is such a big deal the Answer is "Obvious" It reflects in Global Temperatures, if the current pattern of OLR +ve carries forward Temperatures will react accordingly.
Watch this space!.
David.
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